Unravelling the Interannual Changes in the Decade Observations of GHGs as Climate Indicators

Over a decade (2013-2022) near Hyderabad, India, continuous measurements of CO2 and CH4 were conducted under the ISRO-GBP at NRSC lab, calibrated against NOAA standards. Results show an annual atmospheric CO2 growth rate of 2.63 ppm/year and CH4 growth rate of 17 ppb/year during the period.

Statistical modeling extracted inter-annual, seasonal, and residual components from the data. CO2 growth rates were influenced by terrestrial biosphere activity and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), with a notable spike of 5.5 ppm/year in 2017 attributed to the extended El Nino phase during 2015-2016. Vegetative indexes were linked to CO2 and CH4 concentration variability at the site, indicating that CO2 fluctuations are associated with photosynthesis, biogenic respiration, and local/long-range anthropogenic influences. This study sheds light on the complex factors contributing to atmospheric CO2 and CH4 variations in the region.

This study provides a decade-long dataset of high-precision surface-level atmospheric CO2 and CH4 concentrations in Central India. Key findings include annual growth rates of 2.63 ppm for CO2 and 17 ppb for CH4 from 2013 to 2022.

Unlike CO2 , CH4 sources and residency times differ, with potential for quicker decreases if emissions stabilize. Analysis of column CO2 from OCO-2 mirrors global trends, with a range from 395 ppm in October 2014 to 418 ppm in May 2021. The study links site-specific combustion and terrestrial biosphere activity to variations in atmospheric CO2 and CH4 mixing ratios during the study period

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Fig. Atmospheric CO2 from the space-based multi-sensors and overlaid on in situ observations recorded at Shadnagar site during 2003–2022

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Fig. Ten-year [2013–2022] time series of seasonal atmospheric a) CO2 and b) CH4 concentrations and their respective seasonal cycles measured at NRSC, Shadnagar c) OCO-2 measured columnar CO2 during 2014–2022